CALIFORNIA MIRACLE? – AT 9:59 A.M. ET:  Something may be happening in California, aside from Mel Gibson having run-ins with the cops. 

RealClearPolitics has moved the Barbara Boxer/Carly Fiorina Senate race from "leans Democratic" to "toss up."  This is the first change in RCP's Senate predictions in days.  Those predictions now have a Senate of 48 Democrats, 45 Republicans and 7 toss ups. 

Please note that only a third of the Senate is up for election or reelection.  That means the GOP must make all its gains in 33 races. 

We have not seen any new polls that might have prompted the RCP move.  They must have some internal information, but it would be great to see Carly Fiorina pull it out.  Barbara Boxer not only couldn't win any Miss Congeniality contest.  She'd have trouble with Miss Barely Acceptable. 

We'll follow this.

October 31, 2010